TD Cowen analysis suggests states may prevail over CFTC in prediction markets jurisdiction fight—major implications for crypto platforms like Polymarket.
The CFTC received over 1,500 comments on its prediction market rulemaking, revealing deep divisions on event contract classification, state gambling preemption, and platform registration requirements.
The SEC extended its review of prediction market ETFs, exposing unresolved classification questions across securities, commodities, and gambling law with major crypto implications.
A16z filed supporting the CFTC’s position that federal law preempts state bans on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket — a ruling with broad crypto implications.
Polymarket is negotiating with the CFTC for broader US market access. We analyze the registration pathways, legal obstacles, and what it means for prediction markets.
The SEC blocked prediction market ETFs tied to elections and recessions. Here’s what it means for crypto prediction platforms, the Howey test, and the SEC-CFTC jurisdictional battle.
The CEA has no general insider trading rule. A stayed CFTC case over a Polymarket bet exposes what law actually governs prediction market trading in 2026.
Polymarket’s MLB prediction market partnership with CFTC coordination signals a new regulatory model for blockchain-based event contracts in the US.
Bitwise filed with the SEC for a prediction market ETF tied to the 2028 election. The filing tests whether event contracts can cross from crypto-native platforms into mainstream investment products.
We use cookies to enhance your experience, analyze site traffic, and for marketing purposes. Learn more about how we use cookies
These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off. They are usually set in response to actions you take, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in, or filling in forms.
These cookies help us understand how visitors interact with our website by collecting and reporting information anonymously.
These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant ads on other sites.
You can choose to accept all cookies or only essential cookies. You can also change your preferences at any time by clearing your browser cookies and revisiting our site.
For more information about your privacy rights, please see our Privacy Policy.